What to Look For - Week 17
Record passing.
Record scoring.
Record comebacks.
Record chaos.
The National Football League’s 2020 regular season concludes Sunday. The ride was bumpy at times, but with some juggling of bye weeks and postponements here and there, the NFL will reach its first finish line with every team playing 16 games.
Then it’s onto the postseason.
With an additional team in each conference eligible for the playoffs, 12 of Sunday’s 16 games carry some kind of playoff implication — either for a team to qualify, win its division, determine final seeding or, in the case of the NFC, decide which team claims the coveted bye week and home-field advantage. (Although in this COVID-influenced season, home field hasn’t meant quite as much as in years past.)
For an explanation of the playoff scenarios and a look at some records that could fall this weekend, read on...
PLAYOFF PUSH: All 16 games are divisional contests in Week 17 and there are still 18 teams in contention for a trip to Super Bowl LV. There hasn’t been more teams still alive for postseason berths entering the league’s final week since 2006 (20 teams).
Six division titles have been secured, three of which feature a team that did not win their division in 2019 – the AFC East (BUFFALO BILLS), AFC North (PITTSBURGH STEELERS) and NFC West (SEATTLE SEAHAWKS).
Both the AFC South, coming down to the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS or TENNESSEE TITANS, and NFC East, with the DALLAS COWBOYS, NEW YORK GIANTS and WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM each still in contention for the division crown, are guaranteed to also have new winners in 2020.
The five new division winners this season will be the most in a season since 2017 (five).
Additionally, Pittsburgh won their division after missing the postseason in 2019, while two other division titles – AFC South (Indianapolis) and NFC East (Dallas, N.Y. Giants or Washington) – can be won by a team that missed the playoffs last season. At least two teams have won their divisions the season after missing the playoffs in 16 of the past 17 years.
Should Washington win the NFC East, they would complete the “worst-to-first” turnaround. At least one team has won its division the season after finishing in or tied for last place in 15 of the past 17 seasons.
The ARIZONA CARDINALS and MIAMI DOLPHINS can also qualify for the postseason this year after finishing in last place in their division last season.
Since 1990, at least four teams every season have qualified for the playoffs after failing to make the postseason the year before.
HIGHEST SCORING SEASON: The 2020 season has seen some of the most prolific offensive play in league history and in Week 17 will secure its spot as the highest scoring season ever.
There have been 1,373 touchdowns scored in 2020, the most in a single season in NFL history, and on Sunday, the 2020 season will surpass the 2013 season for the most points scored in a single season in NFL history.
SEASON |
TOTAL POINTS |
2013 |
11,985 |
2020 |
11,854* |
*Entering Week 17 |
Three teams – GREEN BAY (31.6 points per game), KANSAS CITY (30.1) and TENNESSEE(30.0) – are each averaging at least 30 points per game this season while NEW ORLEANS(29.9), TAMPA BAY (29.9) and BUFFALO (29.7) each average at least 29 points per game.
2020 can join 2011 (three teams) and 2018 (three teams) as the only seasons in which at least three teams averaged at least 30 points per game since 1950. No season has seen four teams each score at least 30 points per game.
The seasons with three teams to average at least 30 points per game since 1950:
SEASON |
TEAM |
POINTS PER GAME |
2018 |
Kansas City |
35.3 |
|
Los Angeles Rams |
32.9 |
|
New Orleans |
31.5 |
|
|
|
2011 |
Green Bay |
35.0 |
|
New Orleans |
34.2 |
|
New England |
32.1 |
|
|
|
2020 |
Green Bay |
31.6* |
|
Kansas City |
30.1* |
|
Tennessee |
30.0* |
|
New Orleans |
29.9* |
|
Tampa Bay |
29.9* |
|
Buffalo |
29.7* |
*Entering Week 17 |
The seasons with the most touchdown passes in NFL history:
SEASON |
TOUCHDOWN PASSES |
2018 |
847 |
2015 |
842 |
2020 |
812* |
*Entering Week 17 |
Seattle quarterback RUSSELL WILSON has 265 touchdown passes in his nine-year career and needs two touchdown passes against San Francisco on Sunday (4:25 PM ET, FOX, in Arizona), to surpass Pro Football Hall of Famer DAN MARINO (266 touchdown passes) for the second-most touchdown passes by a player in his first nine seasons in NFL history. Only PEYTON MANNING (275) has more.
The players with the most touchdown passes in their first nine seasons in NFL history:
PLAYER |
TEAM |
TOUCHDOWN PASSES |
Peyton Manning |
Indianapolis |
275 |
Dan MarinoHOF |
Miami |
266 |
Russell Wilson |
Seattle |
265* |
*In ninth season |
Three quarterbacks under the age of 26 – Kansas City’s PATRICK MAHOMES (38 touchdown passes, age 25), Buffalo’s JOSH ALLEN (34 touchdown passes, age 24) and Houston’s DESHAUN WATSON (30 touchdown passes, age 25) – each have at least 30 touchdown passes this season, while Los Angeles Chargers rookie quarterback JUSTIN HERBERT (age 22) has 28 touchdown passes, the most by a rookie in NFL history.
With at least two touchdown passes from Herbert against Kansas City on Sunday (4:25 PM ET, FOX), 2020 would become the first season in league history with four quarterbacks under the age of 26 to each throw at least 30 touchdown passes in the same season.
RODGERS IN THE RECORD BOOKS: Entering Week 17, Green Bay quarterback AARON RODGERS leads the NFL with 44 touchdown passes and a passer rating of 119.4 (among qualified passers), a mark that would rank as the third-highest single-season passer rating in NFL history.
The players with the highest single-season passer rating in NFL history:
PLAYER |
TEAM |
SEASON |
PASSER RATING |
|
Aaron Rodgers |
Green Bay |
2011 |
122.5 |
|
Peyton Manning |
Indianapolis |
2004 |
121.1 |
|
Nick Foles |
Philadelphia |
2013 |
119.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Aaron Rodgers |
Green Bay |
2020 |
119.4* |
|
*Entering Week 17 |
Rodgers, who led the league in passer rating in 2011 (122.5) and 2012 (108.0), can become the fifth quarterback to lead the NFL in passer rating in three different seasons since 1970.
PLAYER |
TEAM |
SEASONS |
Steve YoungHOF |
San Francisco |
6 (1991-94, 96-97) |
Ken Anderson |
Cincinnati |
4 (1974-75, 81-82) |
Roger StaubachHOF |
Dallas |
4 (1971, 73, 78-79) |
Peyton Manning |
Indianapolis |
3 (2004-06) |
|
|
|
Aaron Rodgers |
Green Bay |
2* (2011-12) |
*Leads NFL with 119.4 rating entering Week 17 |
Rodgers, who has 13 games with a passer rating of 100-or-higher in 2020, can become the first quarterback in NFL history with a passer rating of 100-or-higher in 14 games within a single season in NFL history.
The players with the most games with a passer rating of 100-or-higher in a single season in NFL history:
PLAYER |
TEAM |
SEASON |
GAMES WITH 100 RATING |
|
Patrick Mahomes |
Kansas City |
2018 |
13 |
|
Aaron Rodgers |
Green Bay |
2020 |
13* |
|
Aaron Rodgers |
Green Bay |
2011 |
13 |
|
*Entering Week 17 |
Rodgers has 11 games with at least three touchdown passes this season and can tie TOM BRADY (12 games in 2007) for the most such games in a single season in NFL history.
The players with the most games with at least three touchdown passes in a single season in NFL history:
PLAYER |
TEAM |
SEASON |
GAMES WITH 3 TD PASSES |
|
Tom Brady |
New England |
2007 |
12 |
|
Drew Brees |
New Orleans |
2012 |
11 |
|
Peyton Manning |
Denver |
2013 |
11 |
|
Aaron Rodgers |
Green Bay |
2020 |
11* |
|
*Entering Week 17 |
KING OF KC: Kansas City tight end Travis Kelce leads all tight ends with 105 receptions and has 1,416 receiving yards, the most by a tight end in a single season in NFL history.
With at least six receptions on Sunday, Kelce can surpass JASON WITTEN (110 receptions in 2012) for the second-most receptions by a tight end in a single season in league annals.
The tight ends with the most receptions in a single season in NFL history:
PLAYER |
TEAM |
SEASON |
RECEPTIONS |
|
Zach Ertz |
Philadelphia |
2018 |
116 |
|
Jason Witten |
Dallas |
2012 |
110 |
|
Travis Kelce |
Kansas City |
2020 |
105* |
|
*Entering Week 17 |
With a touchdown catch from Thielen on Sunday at Detroit (1:00 PM ET, FOX), Minnesota can join the 1961 HOUSTON OILERS [BILL GROMAN (18 touchdowns); BILL CANNON (15)] as the only teams to have two players record at least 15 touchdowns each in a single season in NFL history.
Minnesota rookie wide receiver JUSTIN JEFFERSON leads all rookies with 1,267 receiving yards this season.
With at least 111 receiving yards in Week 17, Jefferson can surpass ANQUAN BOLDIN (1,377 receiving yards in 2003) for the most receiving yards by a rookie in the Super Bowl era.
The rookies with the most receiving yards in the Super Bowl era:
PLAYER |
TEAM |
SEASON |
RECEIVING YARDS |
Anquan Boldin |
Arizona |
2003 |
1,377 |
Randy MossHOF |
Minnesota |
1998 |
1,313 |
Odell Beckham Jr. |
New York Giants |
2014 |
1,305 |
|
|
|
|
Justin Jefferson |
Minnesota |
2020 |
1,267 |
*Entering Week 17 |
|
|
|
With at least 92 rushing yards at Cincinnati on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS), Jackson – who rushed for 1,206 yards in 2019 – can become the first quarterback in NFL history with at least 1,000 rushing yards in multiple seasons.
Tampa Bay wide receiver MIKE EVANS recorded a season-high 10 receptions for 181 receiving yards and two touchdowns last week. He now has 960 receiving yards in 2020.
With at least 40 receiving yards against Atlanta on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, FOX), Evans will become the first player in NFL history with at least 1,000 receiving yards in each of his first seven seasons.
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